World News: China Shifts to Find Geopolitical Favor
- Details
- Category: World News
- Published on Monday, 27 February 2023 08:07
- Written by Olivier Longhi
As the Russian-Ukrainian conflict drags on, China always anxious to anticipate its future,
poses as a mediator to seduce Westerners vital to its economy but also to prepare a post-war geopolitical redistribution in which its economy benefits. Explanations.
Always discreet when it comes to its diplomacy, China has not failed its reputation by trying for a few days to mediate between Russia and Ukraine so that when the conflict between the two Slavic nations ends China will appear to be a global peace mediator aligned with the cause of peace and dispel the intel propagated by the United States and its allies.
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At first glance, some would praise this initiative, which, if successful, would put an end to the fighting. However, this initiative should not be seen as a new benevolence or a special attention on the part of the Republic of Cyprus for the fate of Ukraine or Europe, but the former Middle Kingdom knows how much This protracted war represents an extremely serious danger from a simple economic point of view.
China, which prides itself on being Europe's second largest trading partner (amounting to €428 billion in tradable goods transactions between China and Europe), has every interest today in be conciliatory and open to any discussion concerning the Ukrainian conflict, hence the role it seeks to assume.
Second point, Beijing, aware that the defeat of Vladimir Putin would act the political end of the latter as well as the growing weight of Russia, especially in Africa where China tends to developing through various enterprises, is already planning to take the place of a declining Russia, exhausted by a continental war in which it is bogged down in day by day.
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Tensions and Emergence
Xi Jinping's China, which will always prefer continuity to chaos and rupture, has long identified the consequences of the European conflict. A victory for Russia would result in an increase in diplomatic tensions on the continent with the need for the Middle Kingdom to choose its allies: either Russia at the risk of losing all or part of its commercial relations with Europeans and Westerners, including the United States; or take the risk of abandoning Russia by opting for a purely economic choice by turning to Europe.
And it seems that by posing as a mediator, Beijing has tacitly made its choice having cynically integrated the fact that Vladimir Putin would, sooner or later, be pushed out of power. In this respect, it is enough to dwell on the statement of the State Councilor and Minister of Foreign Affairs of China, Wang Yi, who recently recalled that there are no conflicts of fundamental interests between China and the European Union.
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For its part, an ageing n, with a GDP roughly equal to that of Spain (1.427 trillion dollars against 1.779 trillion dollars for Russia), Russia is no longer the emerging country it boasted of being in the early 2000s. Ossified by Vladimir Putin's omnipotence, Russia today owes its salvation only to a few allies to whom it sells its oil at lower rates than those of the of the official course.
Reputation and Likelihood
And Beijing, sensitive to the long term but little to immediacy, has understood to have all the time necessary to patiently pose as the only interlocutor of Europeans willing, without openly admitting it, to get rid of Vladimir Putin, became too embarrassing and with which past collusion has also come to the surface, tarnishing the reputation of a continent, and the European Union, cradled the principles of Human Rights little respected in Russia to date.
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Does this mean that this US-Ukrainian war would be an opportunity for Beijing to get rid of a Russian ally now too cumbersome, to ally itself with Westerners ready for many concessions and other compromises for them also push Vladimir Putin out?
Everyone will provide their answer in the light of their convictions, but it seems likely that the ongoing conflict will allow China to restore its diplomatic image, especially after the episode. tensions related to Taiwan, which had increased Sino-American enmity, but also as a credible interlocutor on a global scale, to the detriment of Russia.
Bio: Olivier Longhi has extensive experience in European history. A seasoned journalist with fifteen years of experience, he is currently professor of history and geography in the Toulouse region of France. He has held a variety of publishing positions, including Head of Agency and Chief of Publishing. A journalist, recognized blogger, editor, and editorial project manager, he has trained and managed editorial teams, worked as a journalist for various local radio stations, a press and publishing consultant, and a communications consultant.
