World News: From Saigon to Tehran
- Details
- Category: Haute This Issue
- Published on Monday, 23 March 2026 06:03
- Written by Olivier Longhi
Subjected to daily fire from the Israeli-American coalition, the Islamic Republic of Iran shows no sign of weakness while deploying retaliatory capacities underestimated by Tel Aviv and Washington. And the possibility of a long and complex war looms.
It is an easy adage to say that history repeats itself, thus referring to a form of systematization of the discipline that would then operate on pre-established models that are regularly and cyclically mobilized. Of course, the concept is debatable, but it is true that in the case of the tri-party conflict between Iran and the Israeli-American coalition, the doubt that the conflict will get bogged down is becoming more and more feared and feared.
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Assaulted from all sides, Iran is resisting more than the American President and the Israeli Prime Minister had imagined, both of whom thought that the mullahs' regime would give way under the firepower, especially of the former. But it is clear that Iran is not only fiercely resisting, to the detriment of its own people held hostage between the Revolutionary Guards and the bombings of the Israeli-American coalition but also has the necessary resources to respond to the attacks it has suffered.
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And if the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz panics the planet because it finds itself deprived of black gold, it is clear that the Islamic Republic of Iran seems to be gradually gaining the upper hand in a conflict that was supposed to send the mullahs to the rank of memory to make way for democracy.
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The question of the future of this conflict therefore still arises. While Donald Trump does not rule out the idea, without being totally convinced, of sending ground troops, the fear of a long conflict, difficult to explain to American citizens, is beginning to emerge. The mid-term elections in November could weigh heavily in the decisions to come.
However, leaving Israel alone to manage the Iranian case would be tantamount to admitting a military failure with disastrous diplomatic consequences that would benefit Beijing and Moscow, which were then quick to rush into the breach to discredit the United States. Ukraine, which is following the progress of the Middle East conflict with daily attention, is counting on a victory for the coalition to establish its claims in the context of the conflict that occupies it against Russia.
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Taiwan and Military Power
As for Beijing, an ally of Iran, itself the Middle Kingdom's largest oil supplier, a US disappointment would leave the field open to a potential invasion of Taiwan. By attacking Iran, certainly convinced by Israel, Donald Trump did not think he would have to face such a tenacious adversary, convinced that the military power of the United States would overcome a socially torn and economically drained nation.
Pretension and ignorance of geopolitical realities are also at the root of the current situation, the consequences of which are splashing the entire planet and reinforcing the discredit of a man who was at war when he presented himself as a peacemaker.
So, between incompetence and amateurism, it will be up to each person to judge this conflict in the light of his or her own convictions, which is dangerously taking on the aspect of a Middle Eastern Vietnam, even if Saigon is far from Tehran.
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Bio: Olivier Longhi has extensive experience in European history. A seasoned journalist with fifteen years of experience, he is currently a professor of history and geography in the Toulouse region of France. He has held a variety of publishing positions, including Head of Agency and Chief of Publishing. A journalist and recognized blogger, editor, and editorial project manager, he has trained and managed editorial teams, worked as a journalist for various local radio stations, was a press and publishing consultant, and was a communications consultant.
