World News: Macron and The State of the Republic

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Category: World News - Europe

Published on Sunday, 07 September 2025 09:40

Written by Olivier Longhi

French President Emmanuel Macron now faces the daunting task of appointing a Prime Minister that reassures those concerned over the state of the republic, offers credible social and economic prospects, and stems the rise of right leaning parties.

The question is not whether François Bayrou, Prime Minister, will fall following the vote of confidence requested from the National Assembly on September 8, since it is already certain that he will have to give up his place. The question that arises, however, is who will replace him, for what political orientations and for how long?

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The President of the Republic, who had until now swept away any possibility of appointing a left-wing Prime Minister to Matignon, seems inclined to do so. There are two reasons for this solution: The first is that he now has little choice, as the Michel Barnier and François Bayrou cartridges have been exhausted with the results we know.

Casus belli

The second, colder and more cynical, would be to put a progressive at the head of the Government with the secret hope of seeing him fail and thus free up the space for a center-right candidate for the presidential election, provided that the Government in question survives until 2027, the budget having been the casus belli for several months now provoking the fall of ministerial cabinets.

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However, these hypotheses, which remain so, do not reflect the precise objectives of the Head of State, who guarantees respect for the institutions. But, at the same time, time is running out and the country is getting impatient and seething, irritated by the instability of a state known for its constancy, wary of the economic prospects, especially in terms of employment, which are not very pleasant according to the latest INSEE projections. Without being huge, the challenge is considerable. And trying to play for time until 2027 is a risky bet, especially in view of the global economy. The Ukrainian conflict, in which the French President is engaged, presupposes a serene and calm internal situation, which is far from being the case.

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Failure of Macronism

The same goes for relations with the United States or Israel. To summarize it simply, France is going through a social crisis and a crisis of the regime combined to give birth to an explosive situation that all the markers reflect. At the same time, the said situation also reflects the failure of Macronism, at the very least, that of a Jupiterian method of government articulated around a single man with a government seen as a substitute in charge of dirty work.

Nicolas Sarkozy, President of the Republic from 2007 to 2012, had tried with more brutality and coarseness, to apply this mode of operation, with the end that we know. Because once this observation has been made, the last question that arises, not without acuity, is to know what state the country will be in after Emmanuel Macron leaves power?

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Bio: Olivier Longhi has extensive experience in European history. A seasoned journalist with fifteen years of experience, he is currently a professor of history and geography in the Toulouse region of France. He has held a variety of publishing positions, including Head of Agency and Chief of Publishing. A journalist and recognized blogger, editor, and editorial project manager, he has trained and managed editorial teams, worked as a journalist for various local radio stations, was a press and publishing consultant, and was a communications consultant.