World News: Trump Fails to Move Russia and Ukraine Toward Peace

Even as United States President Donald Trump attempts to establish a ceasefire or a peace protocol between Russia and Ukraine the effort has failed, the reality is that only direct negotiations between Kiev and Moscow will bear fruit.

Should we really expect tangible results after the meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin? Some, the most optimistic, will say yes. The others, more lucid, even pessimistic, sensed the failure of this telephone conversation announced on the sly. The reasons that explain it are both simple and obvious.


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The first of these is that it is clear that Vladimir Putin will not want peace dictated to him if it is not by him. Any attempt in this direction will be hailed as a success, any attempt to propose an external peace plan will be experienced as aggression, acceptance as a form of submission to the West.

The naivety and vanity of Donald Trump are also to be highlighted, he who thought he could settle the conflict in one day broke his teeth on the limitless tenacity, bathed in nationalism, of the president of Russia.


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Obstinacy

The second is that Vladimir Putin wants, at all costs, the departure of Volodymyr Zelensky from power, in order to eventually install a liege man who will generate a policy identical to that practiced in Belarus with Alexander Lukashenko, a loyal and servile friend of Vladimir Putin.

Finally, by his obstinacy, Vladimir Putin knows that he will end up tiring his North American counterpart, who is already starting to show signs of fatigue and annoyance in the face of the silence of the Russian President. Because it would not be surprising if Donald Trump ended up sending the Ukrainian affair back to what it has always been, namely, a purely European affair, not to say an east-European affair.


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The old resentments, the cooked and recooked hatreds that have been eating away at relations between Russia and Ukraine for decades, obviously go beyond the North American diplomatic logic of pragmatism and radicalism in the solution. It would be an exaggeration to say that Donald Trump is not capable of settling the conflict, whatever the method used, but anyone in his place would have stumbled in the face of a Russian Ukrainian reality that calls for a very detailed knowledge of the history of Eastern Europe.

In the end, that is to say that this conflict will not find a solution. Of course, there will be one, but it will not be stamped with the seal of the United States, nor of the European Union, but with that of Russia and Ukraine, both of which are free from any intermediary, even if they are aware of all the subtleties linking the two belligerents. This does not mean, however, that aid and co-negotiators are automatically excluded, but only that peace talks can only be articulated around a Kiev-Moscow axis.


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Bio: Olivier Longhi has extensive experience in European history. A seasoned journalist with fifteen years of experience, he is currently a professor of history and geography in the Toulouse region of France. He has held a variety of publishing positions, including Head of Agency and Chief of Publishing. A journalist and recognized blogger, editor, and editorial project manager, he has trained and managed editorial teams, worked as a journalist for various local radio stations, was a press and publishing consultant, and was a communications consultant. 

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